German weekend (10/3-10/5)

[chriscol]

Record so far:
Bundesliga: 19-14 +5.325
2. Bundesliga: 6-4 +2.41
Regionalliga: 13-10 +0.372

Total: 38-28 +8.107

Friday:
Regionalliga Süd

Siegen- Offenbach: Siegen to win @ 2.20

Siegen winless in away games is astrong home team going 3-1-0 so far this season, scoring 14 goals in 3 matches. Cause of their away weakness they rely on home wins at the moment and i think they will have a good chance to get another one today against struggeling Offenbach.

Offenbach started the season as a team expected to be in promotion race, but due to major injury problems is sitting in the bottom of standings. They lost 0-4 at home last weekend against leader München in a horrible effort.
In today's game there will be missing 9 players with injuries. coach has even to call up 3 players from "B"- team, which is playing in 5th league for today'S match.
Great value here, considering home strength and injury problems.

 

[JackDee]

doing great this year too chris, as per usual.

thanks for the play and bol.

 

[chriscol]

Saturday

1. Bundesliga

Frankfurt - Dortmund: UNDER 2.5 @ 1.962

Dortmund struggeling big time in away games this season as they did last season. Koller, Rosidsky, Amoroso, Evanilson, Conceicao and several other key players still out. They won last away game in Wien (Uefa-cup) with a "B-team", but got in even bigger injury trouble.
Frankfurt, got a little bit of a boost out of Möller's return, but i still think they are one of the weakestteams in league. Last weeks draw in Schalke was just a horrible effort, but they got lucky to play another terrible team.
Dortmund is still the better team here, but with the away-problems and all injuries i will no go with any side here.
The play will be under, cause i dont see either team to score much. In Dortmund away games there were 6 goals in 3 Games. if you take away an crazy 2-2 in 1st game on schalke there is almost no scoring in Dortmund away games. combined with no experienced striker or midfielder available...
Frankfurt is the same, scoring twice in 3 home games, avaraging little over 2 goals/game (only because the away team once got the over alone).

Hamburg- Gladbach: Hamburg -1 @ 1.847

Hamburg is playing better recently. got a great come from behind home win over rostock in a must win position, got a come from behond home win in Uefa-Cup and drew on a last minute goal in Berlin. They should show their usual home strength today against Gladbach which is now waiting for over one year on first away win.
They are just playing not good away and always looking to be afraid when coming to other arenas. that will be not better at AOL-arena.

Hannover- Schalke: UNDER 2.5 / 3 @ 1.943

This total is that that high , because of Hannover's high scoring home matches in the past, but an over always needs two teams (if Real is not involved).Schalke only good players, who is showing at least decent form Altintop is now out for 2 month.. who can score for Schalke... i thought long about it and could not find a name (if there is no crazy goal). i'm looking for a defense performance of Schalke which will aim for a point here, not a win.
Can Hannover go over itself? i doubt. They had problems around the club during week, with top player Simak unexpected confirmed his retirement at young age, because of psychological problems. That has been the talk all week in Hannover. No real focus on the game. + they always struggle at home, when they have to make the play, which they will have to do today.

 

[chriscol]

Freiburg - 1860 München: München pk, +0.5 @ 2.05
OK, Freiburg is playing well at home going 2-1-0 so far, but there is a special situation in this match up. München won 3 times of L4 in Freiburg + München is always a dangerous team in away games + striker Borimirov will be back after red card suspension and extra motivated + i like München to be the better team on neutral pitch, but with some historical "good feel" in Freiburg i dont see the home advantage to provide very much today.
At pk i would lay off, but at +1/4 i've to go with München.

Some other facts:

I like Bochum, but Kaiserslautern has a 6-2-0 record last 8 games playing in Bochum.

I dont like Bayern, cuase they rae showing me nothing in Bundesliga so far, but Berlin is also not in good shape and lost L4 in München.

Stuttgart - köln looks too easy: First against Last + Stuttgart off the great win over ManU.
there might be a let down by Stuttgart. Pass here

 

[chriscol]

Regionalliga Nord:

2- Team Parlay: Essen over Hamburg (1.44) + Bremen over Neumünster (1.364) for a combined 1.97 and 2 Units

Leipzig - Braunschweig : Braunschweig to win @ 1.87

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

adding one more:

GRAND WIENER: Total under 20 goals on saturday @ 1.90

 

[chriscol]

good weekend so far, but not much to do on Sunday:

Regionalliga Süd:

München- Eschborn: München to win @ 1.4 for 2 Units

 

[GreenDoberman]

good call on the letdown on Stuttgart's part, lifeless 0-0 draw, with the relegation zone side.
Nice no plays are sometimes more valuable than winners!